一九九０年代日本因應經濟與金融危機之政策研究

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Title:	一九九０年代日本因應經濟與金融危機之政策研究
Other Titles:	Japanese Economic and Financial Policy Against Asian Crises in 1990-1999
Authors:	趙永祥 Chao, Edward
Contributors:	亞洲太平洋研究所張亞中 Chang, Ya-Chung
Keywords:	日本經濟奇蹟;亞洲金融風暴;日本金融體制;日本金融危機;日本經濟改革;全球經濟;全球金融;國際金融體系 Japanese Financial crises;Asian Financial crises;Economic crises;Bubble economy;Big Bang;Economic revolution policy;Foreign exchange control;Global Finance;International Financial System
Date:	1999
Issue Date:	2015-05-11 15:33:24 (UTC+8)
Abstract:	本論文試圖論述從1990年的日本泡沫經濟破滅到1990年代亞洲金融風暴及日本經濟危機的發展過程，剖析這場風暴和危機可能對日本經濟與金融體制所造成的衝擊，並從中去探究日本經濟與金融改革為何成效不彰的各種原因，並從日本內部因素、國際金融及世界經濟體系因素和經濟循環理論等多元面向，重新檢視日本經濟改革與金融體制的問題，希冀對過去日本經濟奇蹟到泡沫經濟破滅，其經濟在近九年來為何一直無法振衰起弊？金融機構倒閉事件接二連三發生？原因究竟出在那裡？個人提出研究心得，以及對日本未來的發展前景提出幾點省思。從日本奇蹟到亞洲金融風暴和經濟衰滯的發展，乃是世界資本主義體系盛極而衰的景氣循環的必然過程，只不過國際金融體系的弊端加上日本多年以來在金融體制及經濟結構上所存在的弊端，加速了經濟危機的深化，也加劇了亞洲金融危機對日本整體金融體制破壞的程度。由於日本是亞洲經濟的『龍頭大哥』，是亞洲其它國家的主要貿易夥伴，佔亞洲總體貿易額的35%以上，可以說是亞洲經濟的『火車頭』。因此，日前新加坡內閣資政李光耀接受美國《商業週刊》訪問時指出，日本是亞洲經濟能否復甦的重要關鍵，日本經濟若不能復甦，亞洲其它國家將陷入嚴重的不利情勢。究竟，日本目前的經濟狀況如何？金融體制的整頓成效如何？日本經濟不振對全球經濟與金融會有何影響？日本經濟能否風雲再起？將在本論文中將會有深入性地探討。 This paper attempts to trace the development from the ＂Japan As No. 1＂ to the financial and economic storms, completed with a detailed analysis of the internal and external factors making for the current crisis. Among other things, it explains the Japanese economic recession/depression as an inevitable occurrence in the secular business cycle of the capitalistic market economy. It also argues that in view of the increasing globalization and liberalization of the world's financial markets, it makes little sense to blame the current economic crisis on the ＂internal＂ problems of the Japanese economies. For these problems are intertwined with the mammoth international financial system characterized by quick cross-national capital mobility and an increasingly complicated and volatile system of over-productive speculative investments. This paper concludes that to avoid a repetition of the Japanese economic disasters, and it is also imperative to initiate drastic reforms not only on the Japanese banking and economic structures, but more importantly, on the international financial market system itself. It is important to continue the long and mid term structual reform in the recovery and reconstruction of the economy after the currency and financial crisis in Japan. It is expected that Japan could reestablish its financial control system. It is necessary for Japan to initiate policy dialog and information exchange to solve various problems which related to financial crisis and also develop a cooperative relationship for the future development in the Asia-Pacific region as a whole.
Appears in Collections:	[Department of International and China Studies, The M.A. Program of Asia-Pacific Studies and Public Policy Studies] Disserations and Theses(M.A. Program in Asia-Pacific Studies)

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