建構123模式與台灣GDP之關係架構

南華大學機構典藏系統 > 本校期刊 > 管理科學研究特刊 > Item 987654321/21209

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题名:	建構123模式與台灣GDP之關係架構
其它题名:	Constructing the Relational Framework Between 123 Model and Taiwan’s GDP
作者:	甘兆欽;邱清爐;江宜婷 Kan, Chao-Chin;Chyu, Chin-Lu;Jiang, Yi-Ting
貢獻者:	南臺科大管理與資訊系;南臺科大管理與資訊系;南臺科大管理與資訊系
关键词:	浴缸模型;一缸;二手;三率;123 模式 The Bathtub Model;A Bathtub;Pair Of Hand;Three Rates;The 123 Model
日期:	2014-12-01
上传时间:	2015-06-01 17:16:49 (UTC+8)
出版者:	南華大學企業管理學系
摘要:	過去研究顯示浴缸模型的兩個水龍頭、二手、三率對於台灣整體經濟活動的水準具有影響。當時Keynes (1936) 提出一般理論概念來解讀就業問題的全面性準則，Pool and LaRoe (1988)進而將經濟活動想像成一個放些水的浴缸，並假設有兩個水龍頭 (利率、稅率) 和兩個排水口 (儲蓄、稅收) 來說明經濟活動的整體水準。然而，由於出口額對台灣經濟產值貢獻佔相當比例，所以浴缸模型仍略嫌不足。基此，本研究修改Pool and LaRoe 的簡易浴缸模型，增加一個水龍頭(匯率)和一個排水口(進口)來反應台灣總體經濟活動之全貌。本研究透過敘說探究分析台灣近年來實際發生的經濟情境，包括浴缸即「一缸」係依賴政府的有形手與市場機能的無影手，即「二手」來管制三個水龍頭(利率、稅率與匯率)，即「三率」，簡稱123 模式。透過次級資料文本的分析，將台灣整體的經濟活動的內涵區分為「一缸」、「二手」、「三率」等三構面，並提出三個研究命題來建構123 模式與台灣GDP 包括民間消費、民間投資、政府支出以及淨輸出的關係架構。研究結論顯示，123 模式中「一缸」、「二手」、「三率」與台灣GDP 均有正向的影響關係。 Past research has suggested that the two taps of bathtub model, pair of hands, and three rates influences Taiwan’s macro-economic level. Keynes (1936)proposed the generic theory to explain the comprehensive principles of societal unemployment. Pool and LaRoe (1988)visualised economic activities as water flowing into a bathtub, and assumed there were two taps representing interest rates and tax rates and two outlets symbolizing savings and taxes to explain the macro-economic activities. However, exports represent an important proportion of Taiwan’s economic production value; thus the bathtub model is insufficient. Consequently, this research modifies Pool and LaRoe’s (1988)bathtub model by introducing an additional tap for exchange rates and one outlet for imports; to reflect Taiwan’s overall macroeconomic activity. This research analyses Taiwan’s recent economy activity through narration and examination; which includes “a bathtub” composed of the “visible hand” of the government and the market’s “invisible hand”, a “pair of hands” that controls the three taps: interest rates, tax rates, and the exchange rate, and lastly the “three rates”; these three aspects become abbreviated as the 123 model. Through the analysis of secondary data, the three factors that compose of Taiwan’s macro-economic activities are: a bathtub, a pair of hands and three rates. Through the three factors proposed, this research aims to construct a relational framework between 123 model and Taiwan’s GDP, including consumer consumption, investments, government expenditures, and net exports. In conclusion, this research indicates that there is a positive relationship between the bathtub, the pair hands, and three rates of the 123 model with Taiwan’s GDP.
關聯:	管理科學研究特刊 6期(2014)
显示于类别:	[本校期刊] 管理科學研究特刊 [企業管理學系(管理科學碩/博士班,非營利事業管理碩士班)] 管理科學研究特刊

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