新冠疫情發生前與爆發後的台美中三邊關係：以結構現實主義及社會建構論進行分析

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Title:	新冠疫情發生前與爆發後的台美中三邊關係：以結構現實主義及社會建構論進行分析
Other Titles:	The Trilateral Relationship between Taiwan, the US and China before and after the Breakout of COVID-19 Pandemic: Analyze with Structural Realism and Social Constructivism
Authors:	譚偉恩 Tan, Wei-En
Contributors:	中興大學國際政治研究所 Graduate Institute of International Politics, National Chung Hsing University
Keywords:	新冠病毒肺炎;台中美三邊關係;結構現實主義;社會建構論;台美關係;兩岸關係 COVID-19;Taiwan-China-U.S. Trilateral Relations;Structural Realism;Social Constructivism;Non-traditional Security
Date:	2021-06-01
Issue Date:	2021-11-24 09:45:11 (UTC+8)
Publisher:	國際事務與企業學系;亞太研究碩士班;歐洲研究碩士班;公共政策研究碩士班
Abstract:	2020年1月30日是傳統台美中三邊關係出現變化的一個關鍵時間點，因為源自武漢市的新型冠狀病毒肺炎(novel coronavirus pneumonia or COVID-19)被世界衛生組織(World Health Organization, WHO)判定為「引起國際關注之緊急公共衛生事件」(Public Health Emergency of International Concern, PHEIC)，從而凸顯出台北當局與北京當局在公衛治理上的極大差異，以及在跨界傳染性疫病此種非傳統安全威脅下，台北和北京哪一方更加符合美國的安全與利益。本文發現，台灣的執政者在COVID-19疫情爆發後有機會轉換往昔受制於「身分」的守勢外交，透過自身在防疫上的優異表現去改善過往較不利於己的三方互動，甚至讓台灣成為具有攻勢價值的美國盟友。不過，本文也發現，無論台灣是否因為疫情這項因素而在公衛治理領域獲得權力的增加或與美國互動關係之提升，在三邊關係的物質結構未發生重大改變以前，台灣沒有操作社會建構論的政策空間，應該遵循結構現實主義，在三邊關係中選擇「遙遠的」強權來制衡「鄰近的」威脅，才是較有利於台灣人民安全之理性選擇。 Since its origin in the late 1970s, offense-defense theory has yet provided clear causal logic and empirical studies over how demestic politics affect the offense-defense balance. This article tries to approach this gap by studying the Cross-Taiwan Strait confrontation and argues that, modern military technologies of precision guided munitions favor offensive in terms of striking oppont's economy assets. Nonetheless, given the unwillingness of the general publics to suffer from military conflict, mutual assured destruction of conventional weapons established. Thus, modern military technologies favor defensive across the Taiwan Strait because of this low moral and thus stabilize the Cross-Strait Relations.
Relation:	國際與公共事務 14期
Appears in Collections:	[The Journals of Nanhua University ] International and Public Affairs [Department of International and China Studies, The M.A. Program of Asia-Pacific Studies and Public Policy Studies] International and Public Affairs

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